Bank Limits Come With Big Trade-Offs

Max Fisher 115 Views Jan 22, 2010
President Obama has outlined his populist-leaning plan to take on big banks. The proposed regulation would aim to halt proprietary trading and squelch "too big to fail" banks--two risky aspects of the banking system that helped contribute to the collapse. The proprietary trading ban would block commercial banks from investments like hedge funds or private equity funds. Financial journalists have had time to mull over the proposals, and they find plenty to love and hate.
  • Worthwhile Overall, but Terrible for Banks  The Atlantic's Megan McArdle says the move forces banks like Goldman Sachs to decide, "Do they give up their profits, or their implied government guarantee? Either move is going to hurt, which is why, despite reporting record profits today, Goldman's stock is down 4% at this writing." She "tenatively" calls it a good idea that would benefit the economy overall, but warns it could still be "worse than nothing" if it allows "loopholes you could drive a truck through." Even if it works, "this is going to deal a major setback to New York as a world financial capital."
  • The Huge Problem It Won't Address  Reason's Tim Cavanaugh scoffs the "good news" is that the proposals are "mostly irrelevant." Cavanaugh notes that they likely won't address the irresponsible mortgage lending that played such a big role in the financial crisis. "Even commies agree that mortgage lending is a basic operation of a bank." It will, however, limit the mortgage-backed securities that exacerbated the problem.
  • Banks Already Finding Loopholes  So laments Business Insider's John Carney. "[S]ources at three banks tell us that they are already finding ways to own, investment in and sponsor hedge funds and private equity funds. Even prop trading seems safe," he writes. "A person familiar with the operations of one big Wall Street bank said it expects that new regulation will affect less than 1% of its overall business."
  • Can You Even Stop Proprietary Trading?  Reuters's Felix Salmon wants to, but is skeptical it can be legislated. "Absent a corner of the trading floor with a big flashing 'prop desk' sign above it, in practice it’s very hard to draw the line between the kind of daily trading that any broker dealer has to do, on the one hand, and proprietary trading for a bank’s own account, on the other." But he's far happier about the bank size limits, gushing, "I love this."
  • Won't Stop Foreign Banks  A loophole that Washington Post's Sebastian Mallaby worries will weaken U.S. banks without solving the real problems. The proprietary trading ban "presumably would not extend to foreign banks. The foreigners would still gamble in U.S. markets, and the risk of destabilization and a job-destroying credit crunch would continue. In the good years, the foreigners would reap profits, and U.S. banks would lobby regulators to relax the definition of proprietary trading so that they could stay competitive. Moreover, when the next crisis arrived, it would not necessarily be foreign taxpayers that paid for the bailout. The risks taken by Iceland's banks might well end up being partially paid for by British taxpayers."
  • This Is Just Politics  The Washington Post's Steven Pearlstein shrugs that Obama's proposals fall so short that they can only be about populist posturing. "The president's motives seemed less substantive than they were political, allowing him to shift from defense to offense and put Republicans in the uncomfortable position of having to defend the Wall Street status quo."

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