Earlier today, Laura Emmett at RT News spelled out the defense's chances:
The death penalty argument is key because if they manage to successfully argue that Assange may be subject to the death penalty an EU country can not extradite to a jurisdiction where a suspect would face the death penalty so that really would be the end of this extradition argument.Still, if the London court rejects the death penalty argument, Emmett says the Swedes would have to jump through a number of legal hoops before Assange was sent to the U.S.
We know that the Swedish prosecutors office has come out and said that Assange, even if he was extradited to Sweden from here would be protected by strict EU rules and in fact Sweden wouldn't be able to do whatever it liked with Assange once he got there. Sweden would have to get approval from the UK to agree to another extradition request from another country, in this case the United States.Interestingly, Emmett's report is followed by a slightly paranoid-sounding piece on Sweden's relationship with the U.S., suggesting that the U.S. could get anything it wants from the Nordic country (begins at the 3:20 mark):
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