Latest Flu Numbers Paint the Picture of an Epidemic

Nurse Debbie Smerk, left, administers a flu shot to Pamela Black at MetroHealth Thursday, Jan. 10, 2013, in Cleveland.
AP Photo/Tony Dejak
Dashiell Bennett 10,691 Views Jan 11, 2013

The Centers for Disease Control is set to release its weekly flu advisory report on Friday, which will show that the nationwide flu epidemic continues to grow, even though it may have begun to peak in the states where it first began. The director of the National Institutes of Health says this year's season is a "classic" flu epidemic that is "still on the uptick." The flu season started earlier than usual this year, and the cases that have been reported appear to be more severe.

Forty-one states have reported "widespread" flu activity, with 24 of those states being declared "high level." In addition, two more children were reported to have died of the flu, bringing the total number of deaths to 20 for people under 18 years old. The CDC doesn't keep a running total of adult deaths, but Massachusetts, one of the hardest hit states, has had 18. Adding up the various state reports would seem to put the total number of deaths near 100. The grim news this week has led to a rush on flu vaccines and in turn, a shortage of the shots in some areas.

The one sliver of good news is that the number of cases in five Southeastern states has dropped off, suggesting that the epidemic may have peaked in the region where the epidemic first started. Even after the peak, an epidemic can continue for some time so the true cost of the outbreak will be difficult to gauge for some time. And it hasn't yet peaked in many other areas. 

Another thing to keep in mind is that the CDC information is on a lag, due to the time it takes to compile and analyze the medical reports. The latest report contains data through January 5, so any increase or decrease in numbers over the last week won't be included. If you're interested, you can check out the data at the CDC's website.

Want to add to this story? Let us know in comments or send an email to the author at dbennett at theatlantic dot com. You can share ideas for stories on the Open Wire.

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