Finally passing after a year of endless slog, the sudden popularity
of health care reform shows nothing succeeds like success
. But will
that surge play out in Democratic victories in the 2010 elections,
which everyone agrees will be an incredibly difficult cycle for
the party? Or can Republicans seize on anti-health care anger to run
against the new law and secure big wins? Here's the speculation.
- It Might Not Matter At All Politics Daily's Walter Shapiro shrugs.
"The truth is that we do not yet know what issues Americans will be
obsessed with as they go to the polls (or forget to vote) in November.
It is conceivable that the health care bill will only become a voting
issue when the individual mandates and the major expansion of coverage
kick in after the 2012 elections."
- Dems Better Off Debating Financial Reform Liberal blogger BooMan suggests
financial regulatory reform would be the better campaign issue.
"Financial reforms should be worked on this spring and summer in the
Senate (they have already passed the House) but the debate over final
passage should wait until the fall, just before the midterms. The
midterms should become a referendum on why the Republicans want to
protect Wall Street against accountability and retain too-big-to-fail
- GOP Runs Against Reform The Wall Street Journal says
Mitt Romney, of all people, is leading the charge. By making a demand
to repeal health care reform the chief policy plank of GOP campaigns,
Romney and followers hope to seizer upon anti-health care sentiment.
Make the 2010 elections a referendum on health care, they hope, and you
- Dems Run Against GOP Obstruction Slate's William Saletan foresees
the White House strategy: "portraying Republicans who oppose the
legislation as opposing all of its benefits. In the Bush
administration, this was standard practice." He writes, "This is the
risk Republicans have taken by voting unanimously against health care
reform. They've bet their whole party against."
- Can You Campaign on 'Hello No'? Huffington Post's Robert Borosage doesn't see it.
"If Republicans gain significant seats, what will be the mandate? What
are they for? You can't tell from this Congress. They've chosen simply
to stand in the way."
- GOP to Run Against Pelosi? Talking Points Memo's Christina Bellantoni sees
an emerging Republican strategy of running against Speaker of the House
Nancy Pelosi. Though widely credited within the beltway for passing
reform, she is unpopular nationally. The Republican National Committee
has already raised a million dollars for the explicit purpose of
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