Joe Miller is invoking Bush v. Gore to stop the counting of some of the
Alaska Senate race's write-in ballots, most of which are presumed to
have been cast for Lisa Murkowski. Miller won just 35 percent of the
votes, while 40 percent of voters opted to write in their choice.
Alaska's election law says only ballots that have the write-in oval
filled in and the words "Murkowski" or "Lisa Murkowski" can be counted
for the incumbent senator. But the lieutenant governor, who's in charge of elections, is allowing misspellings of Murkowski's name as long as "voter
intent" is obvious.
In the 2000 presidential election, the
Supreme Court stopped the vote recount in Florida because the state had
not adopted a single standard for determining voter intent, violating
the equal protection clause of the Constitution. (The court also
specifically stated that the decision
was not to be used as precedent.) Even if Miller's right on the legal
question, one expert told USA Today's
Catalina Camia, it doesn't matter
if he doesn't have enough votes: "Even if you can say the legal theory
is correct, he may not have the numbers. ... He won't win an election if
the numbers aren't there."
- Miller Claims Bad Spellers Really
Support Him, Talking Points Memo's Josh Marshall notices. "In addition
to citing Bush v. Gore, Van Flein makes an incredibly novel and I would
think fairly preposterous argument. ... But Miller's lawyer has another
argument. Namely, that ballots with mispellings of Murkowski's name
should be interpreted not as votes for her but rather as protest votes
against her." The suit says that Murkowski spent "hundreds of thousands
of dollars on a "spelling bee" campaign, replete with wrist bands,
pencils and tattoos, all to educate the voters on proper spelling. Why
was this done? Because even Murkowski had read the law and knew that it
required proper spelling -- 'No exceptions.' So protest voters were
trying to send a message to the candidate." Therefore, the suit says,
counting a misspelled write-in vote "effectively nullifies the protest
and falsely inflates the vote for the write-in candidate," overriding
voter intent.
- Miller Is Right, Patterico argues. Alaska's harsh
spelling requirements serve a purpose. "As the Al Franken recount
showed, recounts are messy propositions — and depending on the standard
you choose, it can sometimes be quite difficult to interpret a ballot.
... If the Alaska Legislature chose to set out clear rules to avoid such
a situation, I say more power to them." As for the
misspelling-as-protest argument, Patterico continues, "At a minimum,
this argument throws a monkey wrench at a court trying to ignore the
clear language of the law to apply a murky 'intent' standard. (See what I
did there?) Whether it’s a persuasive monkey wrench is another issue."
- The
Clock Is Ticking, Andy Kroll writes at Mother Jones.
"What remains to be seen is if Miller's suit is too little, too late.
Alaska elections chief Gail Fenumiai says she's planning to begin
counting the 92,000 write-in ballots cast in last Tuesday's Senate
election... suggesting she won't wait for Miller's suit to play out. ...
If Alaska election officials do follow the 'voter intent' idea, and
Miller's suit fails, we could see a winner announced in Juneau, where
votes are currently being tallied, in the next day or two."
- Easy
Argument for a Guy Named Miller! Don Surber writes, but Miller's "supporters had
better be careful. You do not disenfranchise a person simply over a
spelling error. You go by intent, not some exclusionary interpretation
of the law. If more people want her as senator than him, she had better
win. This is getting to be more like a girl fight every day. Settle it
before January 3, guys, or Democrats will have one less vote to fear in
the Senate."
- The Suit Isn't Completely Ridiculous, Jesse Zwick reports at The Washington
Independent. That protesting misspellers claim may sound silly, but
"Elections law expert Rick Hasen, however, thinks that Miller’s camp
does have a few good arguments it could make — the most promising being a
'due process claim' that argues the candidate’s rights were violated by
a change in elections rules in the middle of the election."
- Meanwhile,
Miller's Making Gains in Absentee Ballots, Real Clear Politics's Scott Conroy reports. "After
Election Day, the total number of write-in votes held a 41 percent to 34
percent lead over Miller -- an advantage of 13,439 votes. But after
Alaska Division of Elections officials counted more than 22,000 of the
absentee votes by late Tuesday, Miller had cut his deficit to 11,557 -- a
gain of 1,882 votes." And absentee ballots from rural districts have
yet to be counted. Though Murkowski did better in most of those areas,
one of the uncounted districts is in the Mat-Su valley, where Miller
polled well ahead.
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