In the latest sign that Google is leaving the country,
the Chinese government
instructed Google to “appropriately handle
remaining issues.” A spokesman said that if Google pulls out, it must
obey China's laws. Observers are also pointing to the fact that
Google
missed its deadline to
register its Web site with the Chinese government. So who stands to win
and who stands to lose in this widely watched showdown? Here's what
technology writers are saying:
- Comes at a Cost to
Google, writes Sam Gustin at Daily Finance: "What's
the price of standing for a principle? For Google, it could be as much
as half a billion dollars this year if the web giant closes its
Chinese-language website, according to investment bank UBS. That outcome
looked increasingly likely."
- Comes at a Cost to
China, writes The Associated Press: "China
without Google — a prospect that looks increasingly likely — could mean
no more maps on mobile phones. A free music service that has helped to
fight piracy might be in jeopardy. China's fledgling Web outfits would
face less pressure to improve, eroding their ability to one day compete
abroad. Such a step could have repercussions for major Chinese companies
as well as local Web surfers... Other companies rely on Google for
search, maps and other services and might be forced to find
alternatives. China Mobile Ltd., the world's biggest phone company by
subscribers, with 527 million accounts, uses Google for mobile search
and maps."
- Helps Google's Image, writes
Henry Blodget at The Business
Insider: "More likely, Google is trying to get the Chinese government to
formally boot Google out of China. This would make the Chinese
government look bad, and it would also look better than Google
withdrawing in a huff." On top of that, Google doesn't have much to gain
from China, writes Larry Dignan ZDNet. "Google’s calculus in exiting China is
vastly different than other players. For instance, Microsoft can play
ball with China on the Internet because the real return is getting
government cooperation on software piracy."
- Makes
Sense for Everyone writes Drea Knufken at Business Pundit: "By
withdrawing from China, Google is taking a stand against censorship.
Google, however, has been censoring for about 4 years already, has deep
ties with the Obama administration, and doesn’t have a big market share
in China anyway. The company’s move is also in sync with Hillary
Clinton’s statement against the information
curtain that Internet censorship represents. Meanwhile, China is already
angry about US arms sales to Taiwan. There’s more to this story
than freedom of information (Google’s spin) and the Chinese government’s
adherence to its “Internet clean-up” campaign."
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