Time machines--the stuff of science fiction--could be invented in the future, if you ask Stephen Hawking. The famed physicist penned an essay
in the Daily Mail last spring in which he noted that tiny tunnels in
time--or "wormholes"--occur "in nooks and crannies in space and time,"
and speculated that "given enough power and advanced technology,
perhaps a giant wormhole could even be constructed in space."
Tyler Cowen is apparently preparing for that day. Over at Marginal Revolution, he has some fun
with a hypothetical: is it better to tax research into time travel or
subsidize it? In other words, should we be supporting or
discouraging it?
I believe no one understands the underlying science much at all. But there is some chance that the old science fiction movies are correct and that by time-traveling you alter the course of history, thereby obliterating the universe we used to have. I'll count that as a net negative, while noting there is some chance we end up with a better universe.
On the plus side, the human race will die out anyway. Time travel seems to yield a fairly safe haven. As disaster approaches, keep going back in time a few days, or decades, and that asteroid will never hit you. This is especially appealing if you are transporting back a body (upload?) which is programmed to be more or less immortal and you can take the technology with you, so as to keep on going back as time progresses.
On one side: immortal life for many of the last humans and thus immortality for the human race. And with time they may learn how to thwart the asteriod. On the other side: some probability of swapping universes.
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Uri Friedman



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