Topic: Nate Silver

The IRS Conspiracy Theories Don't Hold Up to Math

AP

During last week's first-of-many hearing into the IRS scandal, one subplot emerged: Conservatives presented anecdotes to argue that the IRS didn't just target Tea Party groups seeking tax exempt status but a broader swath of conservative individuals and organizations. But the anecdotal evidence does not stand up to the data on tax audits.

By Philip Bump

Apr 23, 2013

Nate Silver vs. Politico, Round 1 Billion, Immigration Edition

Politico's Dylan Byers made a mistake last October, poking the Nate Silver beast. And to this day, Silver takes every available opportunity to humiliate and mock Politico, particularly when it engages in data analysis.

Comments | 3,500 Views

By Esther Zuckerman

Feb 22, 2013

Nate Silver's New Oscar Advice: Avoid the Tim Pawlenty of Movies

Silver has finally delivered his Oscar picks, refining his method of forecasting the awards so they're more in line with his election picks — or at least better than his so-so history of calling the Academy Awards.

Comments | 2,033 Views

By Alexander Abad-Santos

Feb 15, 2013

Nate Silver vs. Politico: No Correction Is Safe

It seems that Politico reporter Kenneth Vogel has now taken up where fellow tribute Dylan Byers has fallen by — get this — dissing Nate Silver's knowledge of campaign financing!

Comments | 4,461 Views

By Connor Simpson

Feb 11, 2013

Nate Silver Calls an Early End to Karl Rove's War on the Tea Party

The king of all geeks thinks the would-be king of all Super PACs is about to watch his house of campaign cards implode, which could actually lead to something of a Tea Party resurgence.

Comments | 4,746 Views

By Alexander Abad-Santos

Jan 30, 2013

Nate Silver's Super Bowl Pick: The 49ers

Sure, he was on-point during the 2012 election, but before you place your bets behind the bespectacled number genie, remember that he predicted that this would be a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl — and that he's gotten a little better at the politics game than anything else.

Comments | 2,414 Views

By David Wagner

Jan 29, 2013

Joe Scarborough's Gut Has a New Enemy: Paul Krugman

After (semi) apologizing to Nate Silver for doubting his spot-on statistical insights into the 2012 presidential election, Joe Scarborough's gut instinct is now telling him to go after another guy who knows his data: Nobel Prize-winning economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman.

Comments | 2,003 Views

By Connor Simpson

Jan 13, 2013

Nate Silver Can Accurately Predict an Election, but Not a Super Bowl

Nate Silver has made a life for himself by predicting things. He is not bad at it, either. He is right more often than he is wrong, except when it comes to football. 

Comments | 8,178 Views

By Connor Simpson

Jan 8, 2013

In Reddit AMA, Nate Silver Admits He Stoked the Pundit-Geek War of 2012

Somewhere in the midst of a long thread about his future at The New York Times, baseball, Chuck Hagel, gun control, and more, Silver let out that, sure, he might have changed his tone "n terms of pushing back at the pundits."

Comments | 1,898 Views

By David Wagner

Dec 20, 2012

Year in Review

The 50 Worst Columns of 2012

The most noxious, wrongheaded, misleading, silly, and downright awful pieces of punditry to somehow end up in print or online this year.

Comments | 77,129 Views

By Esther Zuckerman

Dec 18, 2012

Chart of the Day

The Demographics of Gun Ownership, Nate Silver-Style

America's favorite data geek has brought his trademark analysis to the newfound gun control discussion today, breaking down what gun ownership in the country looks like numerically.

Comments | 8,808 Views

By Alexander Abad-Santos

Dec 13, 2012

Politico, Pundits Refuse to End the War on Nate Silver

Only one doubter remains: Dylan Byers, the media reporter at Politico, who called asked if Silver was a one-term celebrity and is now clinging to the deafening noise of punditry to combat the unstoppable number wizard.

Comments | 7,587 Views

By Connor Simpson

Dec 8, 2012

Watch Conan O'Brien Have a Serious Conversation with Cookie Monster Fan Nate Silver

Saturday mornings are sluggish and awful and you're just going to sleep in today anyway, so why not start your day with a serious conversation between Conan O'Brien and noted Cookie Monster fan, and occasional analytic genius, Nate Silver. 

Comments | 11,198 Views

By Alexander Abad-Santos

Nov 30, 2012

Nate Silver vs. Politico: Oh, It's On!

Doing the simple math, seven times, carry the — Nate Silver is not fond of Politico, and he says as much in a new interview released today. And that's news because Silver is such a big player in the political field and so is Politico, and well, for political wonks, this little catfight is delicious.

Comments | 10,262 Views

By Alexander Abad-Santos

Nov 28, 2012

How the $550-Million Powerball Jackpot Went Viral, by the Numbers and Photos

The tens of thousands of people hoping you got all of your numbers wrong have made tonight's drawing an unavoidable thing, thanks to the numbers being bandied about on social media.

Comments | 2,817 Views

By Connor Simpson

Nov 27, 2012

What the Future Holds for Nate Silver at The New York Times

After an election season that saw him become a (White) household name as his once-niche polling blog embarrassed the American punditocracy, Nate Silver and The New York Times can do pretty much anything they want — both he and his boss today agreed on that.

Comments | 3,793 Views

By Esther Zuckerman

Nov 21, 2012

Obama Takes Time Away from Turkey Pardoning to Praise Nate Silver

Nate Silver jokes have truly reached saturation. At the annual turkey pardoning ceremony Wednesday afternoon, President Obama said the statistician "nailed it."

Comments | 2,112 Views

By Rebecca Greenfield

Nov 14, 2012

Nate Silver Thinks Voting Is for Pundits

There is a 100-percent chance that after spending years and many blog posts predicting the outcome of the election, Nate Silver did not vote, he said during a Q&A on Deadspin.

Comments | 7,056 Views

By Connor Simpson

Nov 13, 2012

Drunk Nate Silver Is Actually Regular and Boring

Nate Silver is a really boring drunk and might be a witch but only on his off days when he's not feeling quite like himself. At least that's what he said in a new interview where he debunked some of the fun memes that popped up after the election. 

Comments | 5,690 Views

By David Wagner

Nov 9, 2012

Today's Best

Five Best Friday Columns

Noreen Malone on Megyn Kelly, Seth Mandel on Republican governors, Margaret Carlson on female senators, Jay Ulfelder on forecasting world politics, Damien Ma on China's last ten years.

Comments | 5,251 Views

By Esther Zuckerman

Nov 8, 2012

Battle of the Nate Silver Twitter Memes

Since Nate Silver was also declared one of Tuesday night's election winners two competing memes involving the now heroic statistician have popped up on Twitter: "Drunk Nate Silver" and #natesilverfacts.

Comments | 11,208 Views

By David Wagner

Nov 7, 2012

Europe's E-Book Price Fixing Suit Settled; Sales of Nate Silver's Book Soar

Today in books and publishing: Apple and publishers settle with EU anti-trust regulators; Nate Silver gets a book sales bump; R.I.P. Patrick O'Connor; hallucinating with Oliver Sacks.

Comments | 608 Views

By Dashiell Bennett

Nov 7, 2012

Nate Silver (and Math) Takes a Victory Lap

After weeks of bearing the brunt of anti-poll, anti-math attacks from people on the right, Nate Silver and his FiveThirtyEight election model can finally send the world a big fat "I Told Ya So." 

Comments | 17,560 Views

By Adam Clark Estes

Nov 5, 2012

Nate Silver Gives Obama a 92.2% Chance of Winning

Some time between waiting for his appearance on The Colbert Report and fighting off math-hating hatersNew York Times future predictor Nate Silver went all in on Obama Monday night.

Comments | 31,795 Views

By Connor Simpson

Nov 3, 2012

Who Will Be Right This Time: Karl Rove or Nate Silver?

Two pundits have dominated the conversation (for different reasons) leading up to election day: Nate Silver and Karl Rove. They're both guessing a different outcome in 2012, but back in the heady days of the 2008 campaign they both predicted an Obama victory. 

Comments | 30,830 Views

By Elspeth Reeve

Nov 1, 2012

New York Times Public Editor Raps Nate Silver for Wagering with Joe Scarborough

New York Times public editor Margaret Sullivan has condemned Nate Silver for tweeting a bet to MSNBC's Joe Scarborough as unbecoming of a Times journalist.

Comments | 8,192 Views

By Dashiell Bennett

Nov 1, 2012

Nate Silver to Joe Scarborough: Wanna Bet?

Political polling guru Nate Silver is so confident in his statistical models that he just offered to bet MSNBC's Joe Scarborough $1,000 that Barack Obama will win re-election.

Comments | 17,810 Views

By Elspeth Reeve

Oct 29, 2012

People Who Can't Do Math Are So Mad At Nate Silver

The New York Times' Nate Silver has created a model to predict the outcome of the presidential election that's watched by just about every pundit, and yet Silver's model refuses to perfectly reflect the conventional wisdom spouted by just about every pundit. The pundits do not like this!

Comments | 165,727 Views

By John Hudson

Oct 3, 2012

Media Diet

Nate Silver: What I Read

The polling guru tells us the sources he loves and what he hates most about punditry.

Comments | 11,448 Views

By Dashiell Bennett

Jun 7, 2012

FiveThirtyEight Says Obama Is in Command ... For Now

Master prognosticator Nate Silver has released his first projections for the presidential election and his forecast gives a significant edge to President Obama ... for now.

Comments | 34,971 Views

By Ray Gustini

May 10, 2011

The Smart Set

Arnold and Maria Split; Buffett Interviews with Dunder Mifflin

Plus: Tom Brady basks in private equity

Comments | 6,103 Views

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